Insights

Bharat Coking Coal Ltd – IPO Note – Equity Research Desk

January 8, 2026 . Equities Desk

Company Overview

BCCL is India’s largest coking coal producer and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Coal India Limited, accounting for 58.5% of domestic coking coal production in FY25. As of September 30, 2025, the company operated 34 mines, including 26 opencast, 4 underground, and 4 mixed mines, concentrated across Jharia coalfields in Dhanbad, Jharkhand and Raniganj coalfields in West Bengal. It holds an estimated proven coking coal reserve of 6,856.7 million tonnes as of April 1, 2025.

The company operates 5 coal washeries with combined operational capacity of 13.65 MTPA and has 3 additional washeries totalling 7.00 MTPA under development, positioning it as the market leader in coking coal washing capacity with approximately 50% share of India’s total washery capacity. Its operations encompass mining, overburden removal, and coal beneficiation to produce washed coking coal.

Objects of the offer

  • To carry out the Offer for Sale of up to 465,700,000 Equity Shares of face value of ₹10 each of the Company by the Promoter Selling Shareholder aggregating up to ₹ 1,071 crore.
  • To achieve the benefits of listing the Equity Shares on the Stock Exchanges.

Investment Rationale

  • Dominant market position with irreplaceable reserves and revenue visibility – BCCL held a commanding 58.5% market share in India’s coking coal production in FY25, with 6,857 MMT of proven coking coal reserves (as of April 1, 2025) representing the major source of prime-grade coking coal in the country. Additionally, it commands ~50% of India’s coking coal washing capacity with 13.65 MTPA operational across five washeries and an additional 7.00 MTPA underway, positioning the company as the market leader in coal beneficiation. The company’s FSA (Fuel supply agreement) mandated supply obligations to the power sector provide long-term revenue visibility, though pricing remains regulated under the New Coal Distribution Policy with limited negotiating power in power utility contracts.
  • CIL parentage advantage and high regulatory entry barriers – As a wholly-owned subsidiary of Coal India Limited, BCCL benefits from institutional backing, evidenced by zero long-term debt as of H1FY26. High regulatory entry barriers reinforce competitive positioning, including complex land acquisition processes under the Coal Bearing Areas Act, multi-agency environmental clearances, and statutory levies including royalty, District Mineral Fund (DMF), and National Mineral Exploration Trust (NMET) contribution.
  • Domestic coal blending opportunity – Indian coking coal contains significantly higher ash content (18-49%) compared to imported grades (~9%), making it unsuitable for standalone use in blast furnaces, washing reduces ash levels to enable blending with imported coking coal rather than direct substitution. Steel producers blend BCCL’s washed coal with imported coking coal to optimize input costs while maintaining metallurgical requirements. With increasing adoption of stamp-charging technology, an advanced coking process, higher domestic coal blend ratios can be implemented (25%-35%), increasing absorption of lower-cost domestic washed coal per tonne of steel produced. The Government’s Mission Coking Coal targets 40 MMT domestic washed coal demand by FY30 under a 25% blending scenario, expanding to 56 MMT with wider stamp-charging adoption. This policy-driven push to increase domestic coal blending in steel production creates significant volume growth runway from current washed coal demand levels.
  • Asset-light production model with technology leadership – BCCL operates a scalable asset-light model with 78% of FY25 production executed through the Mine Developer and Operator (MDO) hired route, enabling expansion without proportionate capital deployment. The company demonstrates technology leadership as the first Indian coal producer to introduce Powered Support Longwall Technology in 1978 and recently implemented Highwall Mining technology in 2024 at ABOCP Mine to improve recovery rates from opencast highwalls. Overburden removal in FY25 reached a record 182.4 Mm³, reflecting advance stripping activity that prepares coal seams for future extraction and serves as a leading indicator of sustained production capacity.

Production in H1FY26 faced weather-related disruption with output declining to 15.8 MMT from 19.1 MMT in H1FY25 due to heavy rains affecting mining operations during the monsoon period.

  • Financial Performance – The company delivered revenue from operations of ₹13,803 crore in FY25, declining 3% from ₹14,246 crore in FY24. EBITDA was recorded at ₹2,356 crore in FY25 down from ₹2,494 crore in FY24. PAT for FY25 stood at ₹1,240 crore, translating to a margin of 8.61%, marking a 21% YoY decline from ₹1,564 crore (10.68% margin) in FY24. Profitability faced significant pressure in H1FY26 with revenue declining 17% to ₹5,659 crore, EBITDA margin compressing to 7% from 19%, and PAT margin falling to 2% from 11%. The margin contraction likely reflects lower production volumes from monsoon disruptions, elevated contractual expenses, and potential pricing pressure from declining import coking coal prices.

Key Risks

  • OFS-Risk – The IPO is entirely an Offer for Sale, implying no primary capital infusion into the business and a partial monetization of promoter shareholding.
  • High Customer Concentration in Power Sector Amid Energy Transition – Over 70 percent of revenue is derived from sale to power utilities, exposing the business to structural demand shifts as India pursues net-zero emissions and moves away from thermal power generation.
  • Vulnerability to Imported Coking Coal Price Declines – Most of BCCL’s coking coal is low-grade with higher ash content, limiting direct use in steel manufacturing. If international coking coal prices decline or domestic production costs rise, customers may reduce domestic coal purchases, adversely affecting demand.
  • Dependence on Government PSU Customers with Payment Delays – A significant majority of revenue is derived from government-owned power companies, exposing the business to payment delays and working capital pressure. Trade receivable days surged from 28 days in H1FY25 to 60 days in H1FY26, primarily due to delays from power sector customers and disputes over performance incentive amounts.

Outlook

BCCL has built a defensible position as India’s dominant coking coal producer with control over prime coking coal reserves and an asset-light model that enables scalable expansion. However, structural challenges persist as most production comprises low-grade coal with high ash content, limiting direct steel sector applicability and creating vulnerability to imported coal price movements. Heavy customer concentration in the power sector amplifies exposure to India’s energy transition toward renewables, while regulated pricing with government PSU customers constrains pricing power and contributes to extended payment cycles.
According to the RHP, due to lack of domestic listed peers of comparable size and line of business, the company’s listed peers are Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, and Warrior Met Coal, Inc, both of which are listed on New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The industry peer group is trading at an average P/E of 17.16x, the highest being 19.44x, and the lowest being 14.87x. At the upper price band, the listing market capitalization of BCCL would be Rs. 10,711 crore, and the company is demanding a P/E of 8.64x, based on the post-issue diluted EPS of Rs.2.66. When compared to its peers, the issue seems to fully priced in (fairly valued). The valuation discount to international peers reflects structural challenges mentioned above, while market leadership and government backing provide near-term stability, investors should view this as a tactical value play rather than a high growth company. We assign a ‘Subscribe’ rating for a short to medium-term holding.

Disclaimer: Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks, read all related documents carefully before investing. Securities quoted here are exemplary, not recommendatory. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Please note that we do not guarantee any assured returns for the securities quoted here.

Research disclaimer: Investment in the securities market is subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. Registration granted by SEBI, and certification from NISM in no way guarantee the performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

For more details, please read the disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.